Live Tracking

Active Conflict Theaters

Escalation Index scores updated daily · Select any theater for COG analysis, SITREPs, and forecasts

10
Theaters Tracked
4
Major Wars
85
Highest Score (Gaza)
May 26
Last Updated
🇺🇦
78
↑
Major War
Russia–Ukraine War
📍 Europe · Russia vs Ukraine + NATO support
Deep strikes, attritional frontlines, and nuclear signaling define the theater heading into summer 2026.
Active — Escalating
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🇵🇸
85
→
Major War
Israel–Gaza War
📍 Mideast · Israel vs Hamas / Islamic Jihad
Urban warfare ongoing across northern Gaza. Humanitarian corridor negotiations stalled. Civilian casualties mount.
Active — High Intensity
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🇮🇷
71
↑
Active
Iran–Israel Shadow War
📍 Mideast · Iran + Proxies vs Israel + Coalition
Proxy escalation via Hezbollah and Houthi networks elevated. Direct strike threshold remains contested.
Active — Proxy / Covert
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🇸🇩
74
↑
Major War
Sudan Civil War
📍 Africa · SAF vs RSF (Rapid Support Forces)
RSF consolidating control across Darfur. SAF losing strategic depth. Over 8M displaced — worst crisis on Earth.
Active — Humanitarian Crisis
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🇲🇲
68
↓
Active
Myanmar Civil War
📍 Asia · Military Junta vs EAOs + PDF
Ethnic armed organizations control large swaths of border territory. Junta's COG under sustained pressure.
Active — Junta losing ground
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🇾🇪
75
↓
Major War
Yemen Civil War
📍 Mideast · Houthis vs Yemeni Government + Coalition
Houthi Red Sea operations disrupting global shipping lanes. Coalition strikes ongoing. Ceasefire talks fragile.
Active — Red Sea Flashpoint
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🇲🇱🇧🇫🇳🇪
68
→
Active
Sahel Insurgency
📍 Africa · JNIM / ISGS vs Junta Governments + Wagner
AQ and IS affiliates expanding territorial control across Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger after French withdrawal.
Active — Expanding
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🇭🇹
55
↑
Active
Haiti Gang War
📍 Americas · Gang Coalitions vs Government + MSS
Gang control exceeds 80% of Port-au-Prince. Kenyan-led MSS stabilization mission facing severe constraints.
Active — State Collapse Risk
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🇦🇿🇦🇲
30
→
Frozen
Nagorno-Karabakh
📍 Europe · Azerbaijan vs Armenia (post-2023 offensive)
Azerbaijani offensive concluded 2023. Armenian population displaced. Diplomatic normalization ongoing.
Frozen — Post-conflict
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🇨🇳🇹🇼
50
↑
Monitoring
Taiwan Strait Tensions
📍 Asia · PRC vs Taiwan + US security guarantee
PLA exercises and incursions into ADIZ at elevated frequency. US arms transfers accelerating. No kinetic action.
Monitoring — Gray Zone ops
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Escalation Index updated daily by AI analysis · Methodology · Subscribe for alerts